35 Climate change Trends and Impact on Marine Organisms
As a result of the burning of fossil fuels coupled with habitat destruction including deforestation and clearing of mangrove and saltmarsh which releases stored carbon, carbon dioxide concentrations have increased at an increased rate, leading to anthropogenic climate change. Carbon dioxide concentrations are higher than have been seen previously in history and are increasing at an alarming rate (Figure 1; Figure 2). Impacts of climate change on the marine environment include: ocean acidification impacting calcium carbonate structure organisms and internal organs; behavioural changes; decreased oxygen concentrations; reducing habitat forming species; altered food web dynamics; range shifts of organism often poleward or deeper to previously cooler climates; changes in growth and reproduction of organisms; increased severity of disease outbreaks; coral bleaching and other impacts of marine heat waves (Hoegh-Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Assan et al., 2020). Temperatures have increased by approximately 1 degrees Celsius since industrialisation began.

Image Text Version
Figure 1. Atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa observatory between 1958-2020
Figure 1 is entitled ‘Atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa observatory between 1958-2020’. There are two lines on the graph, one line shows CO2 fluctuation and the other shows average. The vertical axis is labelled ‘CO2 mole fraction (ppm)’, beginning at 0 to 420, the beginning number measure begins at 320, increasing in increments of 20. The horizontal axis is labelled ‘year’, beginning at 1960 to 2020, in increments of 10 years. In the graph, the CO2 concentration starts below 320ppm in 1960, increasing linearly to above 420ppm in 2020. All data is approximate.
End Image Text Version

Image Text Version
Figure 2 Recent monthly mean atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa observatory 2020 – 2025
Figure 2 is entitled ‘Recent monthly mean atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Lao observatory’. There are two lines on the graph, one line shows CO2 fluctuation and the other shows average. The vertical axis is labelled ‘CO2 mole fraction (ppm)’, beginning at 0 to 430, the beginning number measure begins at 412.5, increasing in increments of 2.5. The horizontal axis is labelled ‘year’, beginning at 2020 to 2025, in increments of 1 year. In the graph, the fluctuating line for CO2 concentration starts at 413 in 2020. The CO2 fluctuating line increases 4.5ppm to 417.5ppm in mid-2020. The line falls 9 points to sit below 412.5ppm by before the end of 2020. The line increases 11 points to approximately 419ppm by mid-2021 before falling again to 413ppm just before the end of 2022. This fluctuating, but steadily increasing trend continues, until measurements cease in 2025 at 429ppm. The average CO2 line starts at 413 in 2020, increasing linearly, until measurements cease in 2025 at 426.5. All data is approximate.
End Image Text Version
Images and data (Trends in CO2, CH4, N2O, SF6) provided by NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USA (https://gml.noaa.gov), measures are for mean carbon dioxide measured at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii. Content is in the public domain.
Activity: Reflect
Have a look at the trends in CO2 over time by looking at Figures 1 and 2 above. What observations do you make?
Global temperature change over time
Open the link, and check out Global Climate Change – Climate Spiral (1880 – 2022), then watch the video below to see how global temperatures have changed over time.
Climate change impact on marine organisms
Climate change is anticipated to affect organisms including their individualism, the scope and structure of their populations, the species construction of communities, and the structure as well as the functioning of ecosystems. Effects include poleward or high-altitude shifts in the distribution of ectothermic animals (Spies et al., 2020). All aquatic ecosystems, comprising of freshwater bodies, coastal estuarine habitats as well as marine ecosystems are influenced by climate change (Beck, 2018; Hewitt et al., 2016). According to previous studies, relatively small changes in temperature modifies the metabolism and physiology of aquatic animals, such as fish, resulting in difficulties in growth, fecundity, feeding behaviour, distribution, migration as well as abundance (Mir et al., 2019; Nagelkerken & Munday, 2016; Portner et al., 2017; Rael et al., 2020). However, the impacts of climate change have been revised and shortened for freshwater and marine ecosystems (Hewitt et al., 2016; Rosenzweig et al., 2007).

‘Bleached Coral Reefs at Byron Bay, Australia’ by Oscar Trisley used under a Pexels License
Climate change has led to the adjustments in the distribution of invertebrates, vertebrates, and also plant species, in terms of the timing of their cyclic activities and their physiological responses in both aquatic and terrestrial environs (Beaugrand & Kirby, 2018; Gilg et al., 2017; Root et al., 2003; Rosenzweig et al., 2007; Sunday et al., 2015), these include marine zooplankton and fish (Beaugrand & Kirby, 2018; Spies et al., 2020). According to literature and recent analyses, threats are imminent and predictions are being made on climate warming in the next decades (Smith et al., 2007). Esia-Donkoh (2017) specified that an increase in temperature of 2˚C to 3˚C above pre-industrial levels is expected to place predictably 30% of plants and animal species at high risk of extinction, while key changes in the structure and function of marine and extra aquatic ecosystems are foreseen, and in current eras, these changes are taking place and if precautions are not put in place they will intensify, triggering more species to go extinct.
Recent models have projected a 0.2˚C increase in the mean worldwide temperature per decade in the next 2 decades and 1.8˚C – 4˚C increase by the year 2100. According to Poloczanska et al. (2016), aquatic ecosystems are prone to the effects of climate change globally. This is because, the vast majority (>95%) of aquatic species are ectotherms, in other words, poikilothermic. Poikilotherms body temperature changes with that of the environment which, results in the adjustments of the rates of all physiological and biochemical reactions and steadiness of biological molecules (Bonachea, 2019; Heuer et al., 2019).
Text Attribution
Content from this section has been adapted from “Effects of Climate Change on Marine Organisms “ by Daniel Assan, Felix K.A. Kuebutornye, Umar Farouk Mustapha, Huapu Chen, Guangli Li and Scientific Research Publishing Inc. which is licensed under CC BY-NC 4.0
End Text Attribution
Examples of effects of climate change on marine organisms include:
- Species Distribution and Abundance of Marine Organisms
- Change on Growth and Reproduction of Marine Organisms
- Disease Outbreak on Marine Organisms
(Assan et al., 2020)
Further reading and viewing
Explore the resources below to expand your thinking.
NOAA Fisheries
- Climate Change and Marine Animals: A Conservation Challenge
- ‘Changing Ocean Temperatures and Atlantic Cod’ video clip:
Activity: Test your Knowledge
Test your knowledge in the quiz below:
Activity Text Version
Activity: Test your Knowledge
This exercise invites readers to answer questions to test their knowledge, based on the climate change trends and impact on marine organisms information above. Questions and answers are listed below.
Question 1
Select from the following answers. Poikilothermic organisms are those whose…
- body temperature changes with that of the environment
- are not impacted by climate change
- body temperature is independent than that of the environment
- are warm blooded organisms
Answers to question 1
- body temperature changes with that of the environment
Question 2
As a result of anthropogenic climate change:
Select all correct responses from:
- Average global temperature has increased approximately 3 degrees Celsius since industrialisation
- Average global temperature has increased approximately 1 degree Celsius since industrialisation
- Carbon dioxide concentrations are the same they were during the Triassic period
- Carbon dioxide concentrations are higher than they have been in known history
Answers to question 2
- Average global temperature has increased approximately 1 degree Celsius since industrialisation
- Carbon dioxide concentrations are higher than they have been in known history
End Activity Text Version
References
Assan, D., Kuebutornye, F. K. A., Mustapha, U. F., Chen, H. P., & Li, G. L. (2020). Effects of Climate Change on Marine Organisms. American Journal of Climate Change, 9, 204-216. https://doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2020.93013
Beaugrand, G., & Kirby, R. R. (2018). How Do Marine Pelagic Species Respond to Climate Change? Theories and Observations. Annual Review of Marine Science, 10, 169-197.
Beck, K. (2018). Direct and Indirect Effects of Long-Term Climatic Change on Terrestrial-Aquatic Ecosystem Interaction in Tasmania.
Bonachea, L. A. (2019). A Low-Cost Laboratory Demonstration of the Effects of Temperature on the Metabolism of an Aquatic Poikilotherm. Journal of Biological Education, 1-6.
https://doi.org/10.1080/00219266.2019.1643763
Esia-Donkoh, K. (2017). Fishing Communities’ Adaptation to Climate Change At-Komenda-Edina-Eguafo-Abrem Municipality, Ghana.
Gilg, O., Kovacs, K. M., Aars, J., Fort, J., Gauthier, G., Grémillet, D. et al. (2017). Climate Change and the Ecology and Evolution of Arctic Vertebrates. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1249, 166-190.
Heuer, R. M., Stieglitz, J. D., Enochs, I. C., Pasparakis, C. M., Benetti, D. D., & Grosell, M. (2019). Effects of Temperature on Athletic Performance in the Pelagic Mahi-Mahi (Coryphaena hippurus). The FASEB Journal, 33, 723-726.
Hewitt, J. E., Ellis, J. I., & Thrush, S. F. (2016). Multiple Stressors, Nonlinear Effects and the Implications of Climate Change Impacts on Marine Coastal Ecosystems. Global Change Biology, 22, 2665-2675. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13176
Hoegh-Guldberg, O., & Bruno, J. F. (2010). The Impact of Climate Change on the World’s Marine Ecosystems. Science, 328(5985), 1523–1528. http://www.jstor.org/stable/40656421
Mir, M. I., Siddiqui, U., & Patiyal, R. S. (2019). Comparative Study of Metabolic Gene Regulation with Seasonal Fluctuation of Temperature in Rainbow Trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) under Captive Conditions. Genetics of Aquatic Organisms, 3, 9-16.
Nagelkerken, I., & Munday, P. L. (2016). Animal Behaviour Shapes the Ecological Effects of Ocean Acidification and Warming: Moving from Individual to Community-Level Responses. Global Change Biology, 22, 974-989.
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13167
Poloczanska, E. S., Burrows, M. T., Brown, C. J., García Molinos, J., Halpern, B. S., Hoegh- Guldberg, O. et al. (2016). Responses of Marine Organisms to Climate Change across Oceans. Frontiers in Marine Science, 3, 62. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2016.00062
Pörtner, Hans-O, Bock, C., & Mark, F. C. (2017). Oxygen- and Capacity-Limited Thermal Tolerance: Bridging Ecology and Physiology. Journal of Experimental Biology, 220, 2685-2696.
https://doi.org/10.1242/jeb.134585
Rael, H., Tommy, N., Watson, S.-A., CA, P. J., Ricardo, B., Simon, H., Jean-Pierre, G. et al. (2020). Near-Future Ocean Warming and Acidification Alter Foraging Behaviour, Locomotion, and Metabolic Rate in a Keystone Marine Mollusc. Scientific Reports, 10, Article No. 5461.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-62304-4
Root, T. L., Price, J. T., Hall, K. R., Schneider, S. H., Rosenzweig, C., & Pounds, J. A. (2003). Fingerprints of Global Warming on Wild Animals and Plants. Nature, 421, 57.
https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01333
Rosenzweig, C., Casassa, G., Karoly, D. J., Imeson, A., Liu, C., Menzel, A. et al. (2007). Assessment of Observed Changes and Responses in Natural and Managed Systems.
Smith, D. M., Cusack, S., Colman, A. W., Folland, C. K., Harris, G. R., & Murphy, J. M. (2007). Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model. Science, 317, 796-799.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1139540
Spies, I., Gruenthal, K. M., Drinan, D. P., Hollowed, A. B., Stevenson, D. E., Tarpey, C. M. et al. (2020). Genetic Evidence of a Northward Range Expansion in the Eastern Bering Sea Stock of Pacific Cod. Evolutionary Applications, 13, 362-375.
https://doi.org/10.1111/eva.12874
Sunday, J. M., Pecl, G. T., Frusher, S., Hobday, A. J., Hill, N., Holbrook, N. J. et al. (2015). Species Traits and Climate Velocity Explain Geographic Range Shifts in an Ocean-Warming Hotspot. Ecology Letters, 18, 944-953.
https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12474